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Table 4 Results with Wallinga Teunis estimator 3 (R0 is obtained by averaging over the first 16 days).

From: Reporting errors in infectious disease outbreaks, with an application to Pandemic Influenza A/H1N1

 

Wallinga & Teunis R0 Estimate (IQR)

Exponential R0 estimate (IQR)

 

MLE SI estimate

Fraser et al SI

MLE SI estimate

Fraser et al SI

Growth rate (r)

Original

1.48

1.57

1.40

1.36

0.19

39%

1.72

(1.60, 1.91)

1.86

(1.70, 2.18)

1.30

(1.26, 1.35)

1.28

(1.23, 1.32)

0.15

(0.12, 0.15)

logistic

1.35

(1.25, 1.37)

1.39

(1.27, 1.53)

1.06

(1.02, 1.11)

1.06

(1.02, 1.10)

0.03

(0.01, 0.05)

58%

1.55

(1.49, 1.63)

1.64

(1.57, 1.73)

1.39

(1.37, 1.41)

1.36

(1.34, 1.38)

0.19

(0.18, 0.20)

logistic

1.19

(1.16, 1.22)

1.22

(1.18, 1.26)

1.08

(1.06, 1.11)

1.08

(1.06, 1.08)

0.04

(0.03, 0.05)

68%

1.59

(1.51, 1.70)

1.68

(1.59, 1.80)

1.38

(1.36, 1.41)

1.35

(1.33, 1.35)

0.18

(0.17, 0.19)

logistic

1.20

(1.16, 1.22)

1.24

(1.19, 1.29)

1.08

(1.06, 1.11)

1.08

(1.05, 1.10)

0.04

(0.03, 0.05)